NHL Draft Steals & Busts

Draft value measured by career NHL production. Steals are players taken after the first round (33rd overall or later) who went on to star; busts are top-10 picks who never delivered. Skaters only, ranked by career points.

Biggest Steals (picked 33rd+)

#	Player	Pick	Year	GP	Pts
1	Nikita Kucherov	TBL · 58	2011	879	1124
2	Joe Pavelski	SJS · 205	2003	1332	1068
3	Patrice Bergeron	BOS · 45	2003	1294	1040
4	Brad Marchand	BOS · 71	2006	1152	1034
5	Jamie Benn	DAL · 129	2007	1252	992
6	Ryan O'Reilly	COL · 33	2009	1233	898
7	Paul Stastny	COL · 44	2005	1145	822
8	Kris Letang	PIT · 62	2005	1235	806
9	David Krejci	BOS · 63	2004	1032	786
10	Roman Josi	NSH · 38	2008	1030	779
11	Johnny Gaudreau	CGY · 104	2011	763	743
12	Jason Pominville	BUF · 55	2001	1060	727
13	Sebastian Aho	CAR · 35	2015	756	711
14	Mark Stone	OTT · 178	2010	766	707
15	Brayden Point	TBL · 79	2014	720	685
16	Jake Guentzel	PIT · 77	2013	681	659
17	Duncan Keith	CHI · 54	2002	1256	646
18	Michael Cammalleri	LAK · 49	2001	906	642
19	Vincent Trocheck	FLA · 64	2011	868	631
20	Tyler Toffoli	LAK · 47	2010	969	624
21	Patrick Sharp	PHI · 95	2001	939	620
22	Keith Yandle	PHX · 105	2005	1109	619
23	Loui Eriksson	DAL · 33	2003	1050	613
24	Tomas Plekanec	MTL · 71	2001	1001	608
25	Alex DeBrincat	CHI · 39	2016	696	595

Biggest Busts (top-10 picks, 2018 or earlier)

Limited to classes drafted 2018 or earlier, so careers have had time to develop.

#	Player	Pick	Year	GP	Pts
1	Scott Glennie	DAL · 8	2009	1	0
2	Petr Taticek	FLA · 9	2002	3	0
3	Griffin Reinhart	NYI · 4	2012	37	2
4	Lars Jonsson	BOS · 7	2000	8	2
5	Alexandre Picard	CBJ · 8	2004	67	2
6	Luc Bourdon	VAN · 10	2005	36	2
7	Olli Juolevi	VAN · 5	2016	41	3
8	Zach Hamill	BOS · 8	2007	20	4
9	Boris Valabik	ATL · 10	2004	80	7
10	Dylan McIlrath	NYR · 10	2010	105	9
11	Vitali Kravtsov	NYR · 9	2018	64	12
12	Mikhail Yakubov	CHI · 10	2000	53	12
13	Nikita Filatov	CBJ · 6	2008	53	14
14	Lias Andersson	NYR · 7	2017	110	17
15	Michael Dal Colle	NYI · 5	2014	112	21
16	Keaton Ellerby	FLA · 10	2007	212	27
17	Slater Koekkoek	TBL · 10	2012	186	34
18	Brian Lee	OTT · 9	2005	209	36
19	Alexander Svitov	TBL · 3	2001	179	37
20	Nikita Alexeev	TBL · 8	2000	159	37
21	Jared Cowen	OTT · 9	2009	249	46
22	Haydn Fleury	CAR · 7	2014	345	48
23	Alex Nylander	BUF · 8	2016	126	49
24	Derrick Pouliot	PIT · 8	2012	226	54
25	Stanislav Chistov	ANA · 5	2001	196	61